AED 117k
impact / year
RO
Royal Orchid · Board pack
Royal Orchid Group of Restaurants — Executive Command Center
Farm-to-Plate Supply
Prepared (Abu Dhabi)
For the Founders' Office · 28 decisions pending
Filters applied: Last 3 months · All divisions · All brands · All areas · Sample data – prototype
Last 3 months · All divisions · All brands · All areas
Farm-to-Plate Supply
From the external supplier to the plate: what we will need, what we pay against the market, food cost against the recipe cards, and waste in every kitchen.
01What happened?
Food cost vs recipe · 90 days32.4% / 31.5%0.92 pts gap · AED 115k leaked · Aug–Oct 2026
Paying above marketAED 319kA year at Oct 2026 prices, all suppliers
Food waste · 4 weeks4.6%Of food purchased by the same outlets · (6 Oct – 2 Nov 2026)
Stock-outs · 4 weeks3519 outlets · (6 Oct – 2 Nov 2026)
Theoretical vs actual food cost by outlet · last 90 days
Recipe standard at today's prices vs what we actually used · outlets more than 1.5 pts above standard in deep orange · click a row
| Outlet | Sales | Recipe standard | Actual | Gap | AED leak | Likely cause |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chhappan Bhog – Musaffah | AED 662k | 28.3% | 30.7% | +2.4 pts | AED 16k | Sweets over-produced for walk-in trade and written off; ghee and khoya over-issued |
| Cater Inc. – Musaffah (central kitchen) | AED 2.52M | 34.1% | 34.6% | +0.5 pts | AED 13k | Within normal variance |
| Kababs & Kurries – Shakhbout | AED 489k | 31.8% | 33.9% | +2.1 pts | AED 10k | No weigh scales on the grill line; kabab and curry portions 10–14% heavy |
| Royal Orchid – Mushrif | AED 530k | 30.9% | 32.7% | +1.8 pts | AED 10k | New wok team; sauces made by eye, prawn and salmon portions above card |
| Bombay Canteen – Tourist Club | AED 541k | 31.4% | 32.5% | +1.1 pts | AED 6k | Portion drift on top sellers; check stock counts |
| Soy Express – Bani Yas | AED 371k | 31.7% | 33.3% | +1.6 pts | AED 6k | Noodle and rice batches cooked ahead and binned at close |
| OH! Sushi – Saadiyat | AED 466k | 34.1% | 35.3% | +1.2 pts | AED 6k | Portion drift on top sellers; check stock counts |
| W.T.F – Corniche | AED 615k | 30.2% | 31.1% | +0.9 pts | AED 6k | Within normal variance |
| Chhappan Bhog – Electra St | AED 684k | 28.4% | 29.1% | +0.7 pts | AED 5k | Within normal variance |
| Bombay Canteen – Al Reem | AED 598k | 31.3% | 32.1% | +0.8 pts | AED 5k | Within normal variance |
| OH! Sushi – Al Maryah | AED 520k | 34.2% | 35.1% | +0.9 pts | AED 5k | Within normal variance |
| Kababs & Kurries – Al Zahiyah | AED 518k | 31.9% | 32.8% | +0.9 pts | AED 5k | Within normal variance |
| Chhappan Bhog – Al Wahda | AED 801k | 28.2% | 28.7% | +0.5 pts | AED 4k | Within normal variance |
| Royal Orchid – Khalidiya | AED 647k | 31.1% | 31.7% | +0.6 pts | AED 4k | Within normal variance |
| Soy Express – Musaffah | AED 383k | 31.5% | 32.5% | +1.0 pts | AED 4k | Within normal variance |
| Chhappan Bhog – Al Raha | AED 627k | 28.3% | 28.9% | +0.6 pts | AED 4k | Within normal variance |
| Soy Express – Corniche | AED 408k | 31.8% | 32.6% | +0.8 pts | AED 3k | Within normal variance |
| Kababs & Kurries – Al Bateen | AED 465k | 32.0% | 32.7% | +0.7 pts | AED 3k | Within normal variance |
| Royal Orchid – Yas | AED 592k | 31.1% | 31.5% | +0.4 pts | AED 2k | Within normal variance |
Waste and stock-outs by outlet · last 4 weeks (6 oct – 2 nov 2026)
Waste is measured against the food purchased by the same outlet in the same 4 weeks
| Outlet | Food purchased | Waste % | Target | Waste AED | Stock-outs | Ran out most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cater Inc. – Musaffah (central kitchen) | AED 307k | 4.7% | 5.0% | AED 14k | 0 | — |
| Chhappan Bhog – Musaffah | AED 70k | 7.6% | 4.5% | AED 5k | 1 | Kaju katli |
| Chhappan Bhog – Al Wahda | AED 78k | 5.2% | 4.5% | AED 4k | 0 | — |
| Chhappan Bhog – Electra St | AED 68k | 5.5% | 4.5% | AED 4k | 0 | — |
| Chhappan Bhog – Al Raha | AED 61k | 5.4% | 4.5% | AED 3k | 1 | Kaju katli |
| Royal Orchid – Khalidiya | AED 68k | 4.5% | 4.0% | AED 3k | 2 | Rice noodles |
| Bombay Canteen – Tourist Club | AED 59k | 5.1% | 4.0% | AED 3k | 0 | — |
| W.T.F – Corniche | AED 62k | 4.7% | 4.0% | AED 3k | 5 | Shake base |
| Royal Orchid – Mushrif | AED 57k | 4.3% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 0 | — |
| Bombay Canteen – Al Reem | AED 63k | 3.8% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 0 | — |
| OH! Sushi – Al Maryah | AED 58k | 3.9% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 1 | Avocado |
| Kababs & Kurries – Shakhbout | AED 54k | 4.1% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 2 | Paneer |
| Royal Orchid – Yas | AED 61k | 3.6% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 4 | Salmon |
| Kababs & Kurries – Al Bateen | AED 51k | 4.3% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 0 | — |
| Kababs & Kurries – Al Zahiyah | AED 57k | 3.8% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 0 | — |
| Soy Express – Bani Yas | AED 39k | 5.4% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 8 | Prawns |
| OH! Sushi – Saadiyat | AED 51k | 3.5% | 4.0% | AED 2k | 6 | Avocado |
| Soy Express – Corniche | AED 42k | 3.2% | 4.0% | AED 1k | 2 | Egg noodles |
| Soy Express – Musaffah | AED 39k | 3.3% | 4.0% | AED 1k | 3 | Prawns |
02What will happen?
12-week demand forecast — top 10 ingredients
Outlet sales + delivery + Cater Inc. headcounts + Chhappan Bhog festival production, with Diwali, the wedding season, National Day, the F1 weekend and the festive season · from Mon 2 Nov 2026 · all divisions
Ghee — forecast vs stock vs planned purchases
kg per week · Al Noor Dairy · shaded = festival and event weeks · click a week
Forecast demandPlanned purchasesStock at week endShort
12-week demand
6,963 kg
AED 284k at today's price · 6,528 planned
Shortfall risk
None
Stock and orders cover every week
Ingredients short in the next 12 weeks
Paneer & khoya2 Nov · AED 779
Milk & cream2 Nov · AED 1k
Salmon30 Nov · AED 633
Chhappan Bhog festival production
Feeds the demand forecast above · Diwali · 8 Nov 2026 · last year 20 Oct 2025 · all 4 outlets · Diwali is on Sunday 8 Nov — peak pick-ups 5–8 Nov. Sweets have a 3–7 day shelf life, so the plan must be fixed today.
Forecast vs current plan vs last year
Whisker = likely range · click an item
Last yearCurrent planForecast
| Item | Plan | Forecast | Change | Action | AED at stake | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaju katli | 2,100 kg | 2,520 | +420 | Make more | AED 31k | Forecast 20% above plan — every unit short is a lost sale at AED 74 margin. |
| Motichoor laddoo | 1,900 kg | 1,560 | -340 | Make less | AED 6k | Plan is above the top of the forecast range; with a 7-day shelf life about 80% of the excess would be written off. |
| Gulab jamun | 1,100 kg | 940 | -160 | Make less | AED 2k | Plan is above the top of the forecast range; with a 5-day shelf life about 80% of the excess would be written off. |
| Soan papdi | 900 kg | 640 | -260 | Make less | AED 1k | Plan is above the top of the forecast range; with a 30-day shelf life about 30% of the excess would be written off. |
| Rasmalai | 560 kg | 720 | +160 | Make more | AED 9k | Forecast 29% above plan — every unit short is a lost sale at AED 57 margin. |
| Mixed mithai gift box (1 kg) | 3,200 boxes | 3,850 | +650 | Make more | AED 57k | Forecast 20% above plan — every unit short is a lost sale at AED 88 margin. |
| Dry-fruit gift box | 1,400 boxes | 1,190 | -210 | Make less | AED 5k | Plan is above the top of the forecast range; with a 60-day shelf life about 30% of the excess would be written off. |
| Namkeen hampers | 800 boxes | 910 | +110 | Make more | AED 5k | Forecast 14% above plan — every unit short is a lost sale at AED 49 margin. |
Changing the plan protects about AED 117k this Diwali.
Supplier price index — Ghee (pure cow)
Al Noor Dairy vs market benchmark · 3-month forecast with range · still rising while the market eases · click a month
Our priceMarketForecast
Supplier price watch
Spend-weighted change since February 2026 (before the shock) vs the market for the same items · overpay = a year at today's gap
| Supplier | Annual spend | Our prices since Feb | Market since Feb | Gap today | Overpay / yr | On time in full | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Noor DairyDairy, ghee, paneer · 45 days | AED 3.30M | +12.1% | +6.6% | +5.2% | AED 149k | 93.4% | Rising while market eases |
| Spice Route TradingCashew, dry fruit, spices · 45 days | AED 1.20M | +25.4% | +2.7% | +22.1% | AED 137k | 92.0% | Rising while market eases |
| Coastal SeafoodSalmon, prawns · 30 days | AED 1.40M | +8.9% | +8.9% | +2.1% | AED 29k | 88.7% | In line |
| Golden Grain TradingRice, sugar, flour · 60 days | AED 1.40M | +6.4% | +6.3% | +0.2% | AED 2k | 96.1% | In line |
| Fresh Farms PoultryPoultry · 30 days | AED 1.50M | +5.4% | +5.3% | +0.1% | AED 2k | 91.2% | In line |
| Desert Oils TradingCooking oil · 60 days | AED 550k | +2.9% | +2.7% | +0.1% | AED 768 | 97.3% | In line |
Price-shock simulator
Move freight or ingredient prices and see the effect on yearly profit and which dishes to re-price · base = last 12 months of the selected outlets
Freight cost0%
Freight is about 7% of food cost
Ingredient prices+10%
Apply the ingredient change to
Profit impact / yr
−AED 1.46M
Net margin
2.2%
-2.95 pts
Dishes to re-price · 14 of 14
Extra plate cost a year · deep orange = re-price (food cost above brand target or up more than 1 pt) · click a bar
03What should we decide today?
AED 104k
impact / year
AED 99k
impact / year
AED 48k
impact / year
AED 34k
impact / year
AED 33k
impact / year